ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 291959

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0259 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

   Valid 301200Z - 011200Z

   Added an Elevated delineation to portions of eastern Montana and
   southwest North Dakota. Minimal precipitation has fallen across this
   region over the past 2 weeks with significant drying of fine fuels.
   Some scattered showers/thunderstorms are possible tonight which may
   lead to wetting rain in some areas. However, this precipitation is
   expected to be sparse enough that dry fuels should remain tomorrow.
   Therefore, sustained 20 to 25 mph winds and relative humidity of 15
   to 20 percent may result in some elevated large fire threat.

   ..Bentley.. 04/29/2024

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0154 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024/

   ...Synopsis...
   A belt of enhanced mid-level flow will spread across the Northern
   Rockies from an upper-low across the northwestern US on Tuesday. A
   cold frontal passage will bring widespread wetting rainfall across
   much of eastern Montana and Wyoming. Behind the cold front, a dry
   continental air mass will overspread this region, with relative
   humidity dropping as low as 15 percent amid sustained winds 15-20
   mph. Fuels in this region are expected to be marginal before
   additional rainfall. However, some potential for drying of grasses
   and fine fuels may support localized fire weather concerns. For now,
   this potential is too low to include any areas with this outlook.

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 292111

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0411 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

   Valid 011200Z - 071200Z

   Mid-level flow will amplify across the western CONUS Wednesday and
   Thursday as a mid-level jet streak moves into the Inter Mountain
   West. As this occurs, lee cyclogenesis is expected which will make
   dry and breezy conditions likely across portions of the Southwest
   and southern High Plains Wednesday and Thursday. Beyond Thursday a
   broad trough is expected in the western CONUS but stronger mid-level
   flow and breezier conditions are not anticipated near dry fuels
   across the Southwest and southern High Plains until the early part
   of next week. However, there is considerable uncertainty in model
   guidance by that time which precludes any probabilities.

   ...Day3/Wednesday - D4/Thursday - southern High Plains...
   Dry and breezy conditions are expected across the Southwest and
   southern High Plains on Wednesday and Thursday in response to the
   developing lee cyclone, with additional support from the increasing
   mid-level flow over a deeply mixed airmass. Single digit relative
   humidity is likely both days. The strongest winds (20 to 25 mph
   sustained), is likely on Wednesday. In addition, most of this area
   has seen little to no precipitation over the past 2 weeks with
   additional drying expected on Tuesday. Therefore, Critical fire
   weather conditions are likely on Wednesday and Thursday.

   ..Bentley.. 04/29/2024