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Tropical Atlantic & Pacific Basin Outlooks & Discussions

Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic - Caribbean - Gulf of Mexico
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of
the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season.  Routine issuance of the
Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on June 1, 2018.  During the
off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as
conditions warrant.

$$
Forecaster Beven
NNNN

Tropical Weather Discussion
Atlantic - Caribbean - Gulf of Mexico

000
AXNT20 KNHC 161650
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1150 AM EST Tue Jan 16 2018

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

...Gulf of Mexico Gale Warning...

A strong artic cold front has moved into the NW Gulf. As of 1500
UTC, the front extends from near Mobile, Alabama to just south of
Brownsville, Texas, and continues across northern mexican states. 
Gusty winds to gale force are noted behind the front along the 
coast of Texas and coastal waters. The front will quickly reach 
from the Florida panhandle to near 26N91W and to just N of 
Tampico, Mexico this evening, then move SE of the area early on 
Wed. Cold artic offshore northerly flow behind the front will 
bring near gale force winds with frequent gusts to gale force over
the NW Gulf today and tonight, and gale force NW to N winds near 
Tampico and Veracruz tonight through early on Wed. A gale warning
is in effect for the western Gulf waters while many winter storm 
warnings have been issued along the N Gulf states. Wintry mix is 
forecast for central and southern Texas into Louisiana and the 
central Gulf coast today. 

Please read the latest NHC High Seas Forecast under AWIPS/WMO 
headers MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC, and the latest NHC Offshore 
Waters Forecast, MIAOFFNT4/FZNT24 KNHC, for more details.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... 

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic Ocean through Liberia,
Africa and continues to 03N17W. The ITCZ extends from 03N17W to 
02N30W to 01N35W to 02N45W to the Equator at 50W into NE Brazil. 
Scattered moderate convection N of the Equator to the coast of
Africa between the Prime Meridian and 07W. Similar convection is 
from 00N-05N between 35W and 45W, and from 02N-05N between 48W 
and 51W.

...DISCUSSION...

...GULF OF MEXICO...

A strong artic cold front has moved into the NW Gulf. See Special
Features section for more details. A ridge dominates the remainder
of the Gulf waters, and will shift eastward and weaken through 
tonight. Visible satellite imagery shows the frontal boundary over
the NW Gulf, and cold air stratocumulus clouds across the remainder
of the area, with persistent low clouds across the eastern slopes
of the Sierra Madre Mountains. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A stationary front remains across the basin, and extends from 
Camaguey, Cuba to 18N80W to the SW Caribbean near 12N83W. An area
of scattered showers and tstms are noted near the southern end of
the front. Cold air stratocumulus clouds and some transverse high
clouds are observed behind the front over the NW Caribbean while 
patches of low level moisture, embedded in the trade wind flow, 
are seen across the remainder of the area E of the front. 
Scatterometer data shows fresh to strong northerly winds behind 
the front, and moderate to fresh trade winds east of the frontal 
boundary, with the exception of fresh to strong winds near the 
coast of Colombia. The front will weaken and dissipate by Wed 
morning. Moisture associated with the remnants of the front will 
drif westward on Wednesday, increasing the likelihood of showers 
over Central America and the NW Caribbean. Strong N winds along 
the coast of Nicaragua will slowly diminish to moderate this 
evening through Fri night. Otherwise, strong winds will pulse near
the NW Colombia coast each night through Sat night. Large NE 
swell will maintain seas above 8 ft in the tropical Atlc waters 
until this evening. 

...HISPANIOLA...

Relatively dry weather with partly cloudy skies and isolated 
showers will prevail for the next couple of days under the
influence of a ridge. A surface trough passing N of Puerto Rico 
will produce little convection. Computer model shows increasing
moisture across the island toward the end of the work week as a
cold front approaches from the west.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends from 31N66W to 25N72W where it becomes 
stationary then continues across the central Bahamas to eastern 
Cuba. Fresh to locally strong N to NE winds are still noted in the
wake of the front. These winds will gradually diminish today as 
the front begins to weaken. A band of low-topped showers is over
the central Bahamas and central Cuba just behind the frontal
boundary. A strong cold front will move off the SE United States
coast on Wed, then weaken as it reaches from near 24N65W to the 
Windward Passage by Fri morning. Strong high pres in the wake of 
the front will bring strong N to NE winds and building seas NE of 
the Bahamas on Thursday. 

High pressure of 1042 mb located near Azores at 40N32W dominates 
the remainder of the ocean to Africa. Scatterometer data indicates
a large area of fresh to strong trades north of 15N between 20W- 
60W. A surface trough associated with an upper-level low extends 
along 64W/65W N of 24N. a weak low pressure of 1018 mb has
developed along the trough axis. Another surface trough is SE of 
an upper-level low centered near 29N45W. This system is generating  
scattered showers and isolated tstms, mainly N of 25N between 
40W-46W.

For additional information please visit 
http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine

$$
GR

Tropical Weather Outlook
Eastern Pacific
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 PM PST Thu Nov 30 2017

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of
the 2017 eastern North Pacific hurricane season.  Routine issuance
of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2018.  During
the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as
conditions warrant.

$$
Forecaster Beven

NNNN

Tropical Weather Discussion
Eastern Pacific

000
AXPZ20 KNHC 161516
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1443 UTC Tue Jan 16 2018

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Gulf of Tehuantepec Gale Warning: Minimal gale force winds 
continue across the Gulf of Tehuantepec. A cold front will move 
into the Gulf of Mexico today. High pressure building behind the 
front will tighten the pressure gradient over the area, and help
increase winds to strong gales across Tehuantepec tonight. Winds 
are expected to diminish below gale force by Friday. The 
resultant plume of NE swell has propagated well southwest of 
Tehuantepec, with seas to 8 ft and higher currently reaching as 
far S as the Equator and as far W as 115W. 

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

A surface trough extends from 08N77W to 07N83W to 05N90W. The 
ITCZ extends from 05N90W to 06N111W to 09N130W to beyond 
08N140W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted
within 60 nm of the surface trough. Scattered moderate isolated
strong convection was noted within 60 nm N of the ITCZ between
97W and 111W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection was
noted within 60 nm either side of the ITCZ between 130W and 136W. 

...DISCUSSION...

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

See special feature section for information about the ongoing 
gale event in the Gulf of Tehuantepec.

W of the Baja California Peninsula: Large NW swell is propagating
into the waters west of the Baja Peninsula, with seas of 9 to 13
ft prevailing. This large swell will generate very high and 
powerful surf along the coasts and outer reefs of Baja and 
mainland Mexico through Wed. Another set of NW swell will reach 
the offshore waters off Baja California Norte Thursday night. 
Seas associated to this swell will peak near 16 ft by Friday. 
Seas 12 ft or greater will spread across the offshore waters off 
the entire length of the Baja Peninsula through the weekend. 

Gulf of California: Light to moderate NW flow is forecast across 
across the entire gulf waters through Fri, except for a brief 
period of fresh winds Wed afternoon through Wed night. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Fresh NE gap winds winds will pulse to strong each night across 
the Gulf of Papagayo the remainder of the week. Elsewhere N of 
09N moderate offshore gap winds will diminish to light to gentle 
midweek. S of 09N light to gentle winds will prevail. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Large, long period NW swell is propagating SE across the 
forecast waters. Seas in the 12 to 16 ft range prevail NW of a 
line from 30N116W to 10N126W to 07N140W. Seas of 8 ft or greater
associated to this swell prevail W of 110W. The next pulse of 
large NW swell will enter the NW waters Wednesday night, with 
seas peaking near 18 ft. This swell will build seas greater than 
12 ft over much of the waters N of 15N and W of 120W by Sat 
night. 

$$
AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
Central Pacific

No Storms to Report


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