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Current United States Mesoscale Discussions
Current United States Mesoscale Discussion Legend
   SPC AC 181233

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0633 AM CST Thu Jan 18 2018

   Valid 181300Z - 191200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   A few thunderstorms will occur over the Pacific Northwest today.
   Some of the storms could produce small hail and gusty winds, but
   should remain below severe criteria.

   ...Pacific Northwest Region...

   Synoptic trough over the eastern Pacific will continue inland today
   accompanied by a series of impulses north of cyclonic upper jet.
   Cold air aloft associated with this feature will contribute to
   steepening lapse rates and a corridor of weak instability over
   coastal areas. This environment will support scattered showers and
   thunderstorms today into tonight. Given cold temperature profiles
   aloft and steep lapse rates (850-500 mb values to 7.5 C/km), a few
   instances of small hail could occur. While 40-50 kt southwest winds
   in the near-surface to 700 mb layer will persist through the first
   half of the day, a gradual decrease is expected this afternoon as
   cutoff low near British Columbia weakens. Gradient winds outside of
   convection will be gusty at times. However, downward transport of
   momentum could be further enhanced within the convective downdraft
   cores, especially if any boundary-layer destabilization occurs.

   ..Dial.. 01/18/2018

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z

        



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