U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 080538
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1238 AM CDT Wed May 08 2024
Valid 081200Z - 091200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PARTS OF SOUTHERN/EASTERN NEW
MEXICO AND THE TRANS-PECOS...
...Synopsis...
An upper-level cyclone over the central U.S. will evolve into an
elongated trough stretching from the Northeast into the Southwest
today. Enhanced mid-level winds will remain over the southern
Rockies, though will be weaker than previous days. Modest surface
low pressure will be located within Central Texas into the Rio
Grande Valley.
...New Mexico...Trans-Pecos...
Despite weakening synoptic features, surface winds will reach 15-20
mph across parts of these areas. Some winds may reach 20-25 mph hour
beneath the stronger mid-level flow. The most likely areas for this
will be southern New Mexico into the Trans-Pecos as well as parts of
northeast New Mexico. RH across the broader region will generally
fall to 10-15% during the afternoon. Elevated to critical fire
weather is expected for a few hours.
..Wendt.. 05/08/2024
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U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 080540
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1240 AM CDT Wed May 08 2024
Valid 091200Z - 101200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...Synopsis...
The elongated upper trough will evolve into a closed low over the
Great Basin on Thursday. Farther east, the primary upper trough will
move into parts of the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic. At the surface, a
cold front will push south into the Southern Plains and cooler air
will push up against the southern Rockies.
Given the cooler air pushing into New Mexico, areas with the driest
fuels will not likely see much in the way of fire weather concerns.
Some dry and breezy conditions appear possible in parts of Arizona
into western New Mexico. Here, enhanced mid-level winds and a
modestly stronger surface pressure gradient will drive winds of
around 15 mph with locally greater speeds. Fuels in Arizona are
still in the process of drying out and winds do not appear strong
enough to support more than a locally elevated threat for western
New Mexico.
..Wendt.. 05/08/2024
U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 072147
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0447 PM CDT Tue May 07 2024
Valid 091200Z - 151200Z
A continental air mass and a building surface high will overspread
the central/southern Plains beyond D2/Wednesday, which will limit
fire weather concerns for much of the extended. Elsewhere across the
country, widespread precipitation chances and/or recent rainfall
will limit fire weather concerns.
Continued upper-level troughing over the western US will support
weak lee troughing across the High Plains and will maintain areas of
dry/breezy conditions across eastern AZ/southwest NM. This may
support episodes of Elevated fire weather concerns. Rain chances are
forecast to increase towards the end of the work week across the
Four Corners/southern High Plains, which should further limit fire
potential.
..Thornton.. 05/07/2024
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