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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 081653

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1153 AM CDT Wed May 08 2024

   Valid 081700Z - 091200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PARTS OF SOUTHERN/EASTERN NEW
   MEXICO AND THE TRANS PECOS...

   No changes are needed to the current D1 Fire Weather Outlook. See
   previous discussion for more information.

   ..Thornton.. 05/08/2024

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1238 AM CDT Wed May 08 2024/

   ...Synopsis...
   An upper-level cyclone over the central U.S. will evolve into an
   elongated trough stretching from the Northeast into the Southwest
   today. Enhanced mid-level winds will remain over the southern
   Rockies, though will be weaker than previous days. Modest surface
   low pressure will be located within Central Texas into the Rio
   Grande Valley.

   ...New Mexico...Trans-Pecos...
   Despite weakening synoptic features, surface winds will reach 15-20
   mph across parts of these areas. Some winds may reach 20-25 mph hour
   beneath the stronger mid-level flow. The most likely areas for this
   will be southern New Mexico into the Trans-Pecos as well as parts of
   northeast New Mexico. RH across the broader region will generally
   fall to 10-15% during the afternoon. Elevated to critical fire
   weather is expected for a few hours.
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 081954

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0254 PM CDT Wed May 08 2024

   Valid 091200Z - 101200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous
   discussion below.

   ..Thornton.. 05/08/2024

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1240 AM CDT Wed May 08 2024/

   ...Synopsis...
   The elongated upper trough will evolve into a closed low over the
   Great Basin on Thursday. Farther east, the primary upper trough will
   move into parts of the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic. At the surface, a
   cold front will push south into the Southern Plains and cooler air
   will push up against the southern Rockies.

   Given the cooler air pushing into New Mexico, areas with the driest
   fuels will not likely see much in the way of fire weather concerns.
   Some dry and breezy conditions appear possible in parts of Arizona
   into western New Mexico. Here, enhanced mid-level winds and a
   modestly stronger surface pressure gradient will drive winds of
   around 15 mph with locally greater speeds. Fuels in Arizona are
   still in the process of drying out and winds do not appear strong
   enough to support more than a locally elevated threat for western
   New Mexico.


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 072147

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0447 PM CDT Tue May 07 2024

   Valid 091200Z - 151200Z

   A continental air mass and a building surface high will overspread
   the central/southern Plains beyond D2/Wednesday, which will limit
   fire weather concerns for much of the extended. Elsewhere across the
   country, widespread precipitation chances and/or recent rainfall
   will limit fire weather concerns. 

   Continued upper-level troughing over the western US will support
   weak lee troughing across the High Plains and will maintain areas of
   dry/breezy conditions across eastern AZ/southwest NM. This may
   support episodes of Elevated fire weather concerns. Rain chances are
   forecast to increase towards the end of the work week across the
   Four Corners/southern High Plains, which should further limit fire
   potential.

   ..Thornton.. 05/07/2024
      




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