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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 071653

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1153 AM CDT Tue May 07 2024

   Valid 071700Z - 081200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL/EASTERN NEW
   MEXICO INTO SOUTHEAST COLORADO...

   The Elevated area was extended westward into the White Mountains in
   northern Arizona. Latest fuel guidance indicates ERCs in this region
   are approaching the 75 percentile. Otherwise, no changes were made
   to the Critical area. See previous discussion for more information.

   ..Thornton.. 05/07/2024

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1256 AM CDT Tue May 07 2024/

   ...Synopsis...
   A broad upper cyclone will be situated in the northern Plains today.
   Strong mid-level winds will remain across the southern Rockies. A
   surface cyclone will deepen in the southern High Plains.

   ...Southwest...
   Strong surface winds will develop in response to the upper trough
   and surface cyclone to the east. Winds of 15-25 mph appear probable
   with locally higher speeds in terrain-favored areas. RH will fall to
   10-15% though single digits could occur locally. Fuels in the area
   will continue to support an elevated to critical fire weather
   threat.
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 071956

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0256 PM CDT Tue May 07 2024

   Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PARTS OF SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND
   THE TRANS-PECOS...

   No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous
   discussion below for more information.

   ..Thornton.. 05/07/2024

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1258 AM CDT Tue May 07 2024/

   ...Synopsis...
   The upper trough will broaden and elongate across much of the CONUS
   on Wednesday. Mid-level winds, though weakening some, will still
   remain across the southern Rockies. The surface low will migrate
   southward into parts of Central Texas and the Rio Grande Valley.
   With time, some colder air will push southward into New Mexico.

   ...Southwest and Trans-Pecos...
   Surface winds of 15-25 mph are expected again across the region.
   Coverage of these winds will likely be less given the weaker
   synoptic features. The area with the highest confidence for stronger
   winds of sufficient duration will be across southern New Mexico into
   the Trans-Pecos. Stronger winds also appear possible in northeast
   New Mexico, but the duration of these winds is not certain. RH will
   fall to 10-15% for most of the region. Elevated to critical fire
   weather will occur for a few hours during the afternoon.


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 072147

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0447 PM CDT Tue May 07 2024

   Valid 091200Z - 151200Z

   A continental air mass and a building surface high will overspread
   the central/southern Plains beyond D2/Wednesday, which will limit
   fire weather concerns for much of the extended. Elsewhere across the
   country, widespread precipitation chances and/or recent rainfall
   will limit fire weather concerns. 

   Continued upper-level troughing over the western US will support
   weak lee troughing across the High Plains and will maintain areas of
   dry/breezy conditions across eastern AZ/southwest NM. This may
   support episodes of Elevated fire weather concerns. Rain chances are
   forecast to increase towards the end of the work week across the
   Four Corners/southern High Plains, which should further limit fire
   potential.

   ..Thornton.. 05/07/2024
      




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