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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 280646

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0146 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

   Valid 281200Z - 291200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Elevated fire weather conditions will be possible this afternoon
   across eastern New Mexico and far western Texas, where a belt of
   increased mid-level flow will be in place with weak surface
   troughing. This will allow for relative humidity reductions to
   around 10-20 percent amid surface winds 10-15 mph (locally as high
   as 20 mph). Ensemble guidance suggests there could be some portion
   of east-central New Mexico where coverage of may be limited, but
   given forecast afternoon relative humidity, opted to keep the entire
   area in as deterministic guidance still show signal for Elevated
   winds across the area. Fuels in this region will likely see drying
   on D1 Saturday, but overall coverage of any Critical winds should
   remain low enough to preclude the need for a Critical delineation at
   this time.

   ..Thornton.. 04/28/2024
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 280647

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0147 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

   Valid 291200Z - 301200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   Fire weather concerns will be low on Monday. Weak lee surface
   troughing will continue to bring localized breezes across portions
   of the southern High Plains. Height rises and weakening flow aloft
   should keep coverage of this threat limited, precluding the need to
   include any areas at this time. Afternoon relative humidity will
   still drop as low as 15 percent with localized periods of Elevated
   fire weather, main across eastern New Mexico.

   ..Thornton.. 04/28/2024


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 271911

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0211 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

   Valid 291200Z - 051200Z

   Zonal mid-level flow will become established across the CONUS, with
   multiple embedded shortwave troughs expected to traverse the
   northern half of the CONUS for the upcoming week. During the middle
   into late week period, surface lee troughing will encourage dry and
   occasionally breezy conditions across the southern High Plains as a
   surface cold front sweeps across the northern Rockies into the
   Plains.

   Guidance consensus shows potential for at least Elevated equivalent
   dry and breezy conditions along/behind the surface cold front across
   the northern High Plains for Day 4 (Tuesday). However, fuels appear
   modestly receptive to fire spread, precluding the addition of
   Critical probabilities at this time. Similarly, Elevated equivalent
   dry/windy conditions may also accompany the post-dryline environment
   over eastern New Mexico into far western Texas. However, questions
   remain this far in advance how strong the post-dryline winds will
   become, with Critical probabilities withheld for now.

   ..Squitieri.. 04/27/2024
      




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