U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 191522
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1022 AM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Valid 191700Z - 201200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes
or additions made.
..Squitieri.. 04/19/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0123 AM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024/
...Synopsis...
A weak/low-amplitude southern-stream trough will track eastward
across the Southwest, encouraging breezy/gusty southwesterly winds
amid a dry/deeply mixed boundary layer across the region. While
elevated meteorological conditions are likely across portions of
eastern AZ and western NM during the afternoon, marginal fuels
should keep the fire-weather threat fairly localized -- precluding
highlights at this time. Elsewhere across the CONUS, a limited
overlap of warm/dry/breezy conditions will limit fire-weather
concerns.
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U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 191910
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0210 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Valid 201200Z - 211200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged.
..Squitieri.. 04/19/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0124 AM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024/
...Synopsis...
An expansive post-frontal air mass, characterized by cool surface
temperatures and weak surface winds, will encompass much of the
central and eastern CONUS, limiting fire-weather concerns. Dry
conditions will persist over the Southwest, though weak surface
winds and marginal fuels will also limit fire-weather potential
here.
U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 192248
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook RESENT 3
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0548 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Valid 211200Z - 271200Z
An upper-level ridging pattern will persist across the western half
of the CONUS through at least Day 6/Wednesday, as multiple mid-level
troughs amplify while traversing the CONUS east of the Mississippi
River. Medium-range guidance members depict an appreciable chance
for accumulating rainfall from portions of the southern Plains to
the East Coast, which in combination with moist low-level
conditions, should limit significant wildfire-spread concerns.
By Days 7-8 (next Thursday-Friday), medium-range guidance shows a
mid-level trough amplifying over the Rockies, encouraging surface
cyclone development along the High Plains. A dryline should become
established across western Kansas into western Texas each afternoon,
with Elevated to Critically dry and windy conditions likely behind
the dryline. However, appreciable rainfall accumulations may occur
within the next few days over these same areas. Since the impacts of
rainfall upon available fuels is not yet understood, higher Critical
probabilities have been withheld this outlook.
..Squitieri.. 04/19/2024
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