U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL FNUS22 KWNS 231913 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0213 PM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 04/23/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0129 AM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024/ ...Synopsis... A low-latitude midlevel trough accompanied by strong southwesterly flow aloft will impinge on the Southwest, where dry antecedent conditions will be in place. This will promote a fairly expansive area of dry/breezy conditions across the region; however, fuels are generally not supportive of large-fire spread at this time. Elsewhere, a limited overlap of warm/dry/breezy conditions will temper fire-weather concerns.
U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 232024 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0324 PM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024 Valid 251200Z - 011200Z An active fire weather pattern will become situated over the southern High Plains late this week through the weekend. The passage of multiple mid-level troughs will encourage surface cyclone development and the eastward surge of a dryline each day Thursday-Sunday along the southern High Plains. Critically dry and windy conditions will become situated behind the dryline each day, with 70% Critical probabilities maintained where very windy and dry surface conditions will coincide for several hours during the afternoon. Furthermore, locally Extremely Critical surface winds/RH cannot be ruled out over portions of eastern New Mexico into far western Texas for Day 3/Thursday or Day 5/Saturday, when the core mid-level jet stream from both upper-level troughs overspread the region. By early next week, the ejection of these mid-level troughs, in favor of upper ridging, will encourage a more quiescent fire weather pattern over the southern High Plains, though dry surface conditions should persist. ..Squitieri.. 04/23/2024
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