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North Placerville, CA (near 4,500 ft. elevation - 95667)
Wx Discussion - Wx Hazards - Wx Special Statements
NWS Forecast for 3 Miles NW Placerville CA
National Weather Service Forecast for: 3 Miles NW Placerville CA
Issued by: National Weather Service Sacramento, CA
Updated: 2:06 pm PST Jan 21, 2018
 
Overnight

Overnight: Rain likely.  Cloudy, with a low around 36. East southeast wind around 9 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Rain Likely

Monday

Monday: A 30 percent chance of showers before 10am.  Partly sunny, with a high near 50. South wind around 6 mph.  New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Chance
Showers then
Partly Sunny
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 32. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph in the evening. Partly Cloudy

Tuesday

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 55. East wind around 6 mph becoming calm  in the morning. Mostly Sunny

Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: A 30 percent chance of rain after 4am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 35. Calm wind becoming east southeast around 6 mph in the evening. Partly Cloudy
then Chance
Rain
Wednesday

Wednesday: Rain likely, mainly after 10am.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 55. Chance of precipitation is 70%.Rain Likely

Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Rain.  Low around 35. Chance of precipitation is 80%.Rain

Thursday

Thursday: Rain likely.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 47.Rain Likely

Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: A chance of rain.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33.Chance Rain

Lo 36 °F Hi 50 °F Lo 32 °F Hi 55 °F Lo 35 °F Hi 55 °F Lo 35 °F Hi 47 °F Lo 33 °F

 

Overnight
 
Rain likely. Cloudy, with a low around 36. East southeast wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Monday
 
A 30 percent chance of showers before 10am. Partly sunny, with a high near 50. South wind around 6 mph. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Monday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 32. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph in the evening.
Tuesday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 55. East wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the morning.
Tuesday Night
 
A 30 percent chance of rain after 4am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 35. Calm wind becoming east southeast around 6 mph in the evening.
Wednesday
 
Rain likely, mainly after 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 55. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Wednesday Night
 
Rain. Low around 35. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Thursday
 
Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 47.
Thursday Night
 
A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33.
Friday
 
Partly sunny, with a high near 50.
Friday Night
 
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33.
Saturday
 
Partly sunny, with a high near 57.
Saturday Night
 
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39.
Sunday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 60.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for 3 Miles NW Placerville CA.

Weather Forecast Discussion
000
FXUS66 KSTO 220635 AAA
AFDSTO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
1025 PM PST Sun Jan 21 2018

.Synopsis...
Pacific storm brings light to moderate precipitation to Norcal into
Monday. Brief period of dry weather as high pressure rebuilds over
the area later Monday and Tuesday. Stronger system impacts the area
midweek into Friday bringing moderate to heavy rain and mountain
snow, and gusty wind.

&&

.Discussion...
Update: Shasta Dam profiler shows snow level around 2 kft with
reports of snow on I-5 north of RDD down to around 1500 ft. Farther
SE, OVE profiler shows the snow level around 4 kft. Radar shows
precip just beginning to move into the I-80 corridor where the
precip should be in the form of snow at BLU. Also Freezing/Melt
level around 3500-4000 ft showing up as higher reflectivities in the
Nrn Sac Vly indicating some moderate precip moving through that
area. Typical of low snow level events, winds at RDD are (light)
northerly while up valley gradients maintain Sly flow up the Valley.

Short wave trof forecast to move through the Pac NW early Mon and
ridging will return to the region. This will generally end the
precip, but moisture will remain trapped below the subsidence
inversion so clouds will be stubborn, persistent and slow to clear.
There should be some clearing on the west side of the Valley in the
afternoon due to the NWly downslope flow off the coastal range,
while upslope flow over the Sierra will likely keep skies cloudy
there.

Precip timing from the HRRR and NAM3km suggest precip will be
winding down over our advisory area after 3 am or so. So we will
look at the status of the advisories overnight.   JHM

.Previous Discussion...

Pacific frontal system continues to make a slow progression inland
this afternoon as 5H flow nearly parallels surface boundary. Run
to run of the HRRR has trended slower with front advancement.
Latest showing precip spreading over the Coastal and Shasta
mountains through the afternoon and across the Sacramento Valley
into Western Plumas county this evening. Bulk of precip moves
through overnight. Snow levels expected to slowly rise to 3500 to
4000 feet by Monday morning. Snow accumulations up to 5 inches
possible in the Shasta and Coastal mountains, with local amounts
up to 10 inches over highest terrain. Slightly less accumulations
expected in the mountains of Western Plumas overnight, while only
up to 3 inches forecast for the Northern Sierra Nevada.

Showers Monday morning decrease in the afternoon as subsidence
increases over Interior NorCal. Upper ridging brings drier weather
Monday night into Tuesday. Some patchy morning fog may develop in
southern portions of the Sacramento Valley and Northern San
Joaquin Valley Tuesday morning. Temperatures trend up early next
week to near or slightly above normal Tuesday.

Stronger Pacific frontal system spreads inland over far NW CA
Tuesday night then across all of Interior NorCal Wednesday.
Breezy to windy conditions develop ahead of the front Wednesday.
Models currently showing significant QPF with this storm. Snow
levels attm initially look to be around 5000 to 6000 feet
Wednesday morning, but lower to 2500 to 3500 feet Wednesday night
into Thursday in post-frontal colder AMS. Showery weather follows
Thursday.

PCH

&&

.EXTENDED DISCUSSION (Thursday THROUGH Sunday)
A pacific front will be tracking to our south and east to start
the extended period with the tough axis working through NorCal.
This will bring showers to the area throughout Thursday. Cold air
quickly builds in behind the front and we will see low snow
levels, 2000 to 3000 feet. Mountain travel will likely be
difficult on Thursday and this includes both I-80 and I-5.
Mountain showers will continue into Friday due to onshore flow but
should diminish by Friday afternoon. A warm front pushes into the
PacNW late Friday into Saturday and that may bring a few isolated
showers to the Shasta Mountains Friday night. Otherwise quiet
weather settles in for the weekend as a ridge builds in overhead.
We will see a cool start to the period with highs generally
running 5-10 degrees below normal but as the ridge builds in
towards the weekend we will see them return to near normal.

-CJM

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions expected through 02z Monday. Cigs lower to MVFR,
1500 to 3000 feet after 02z from north to south. Light showers are
also expected through the overnight. Showers diminish between
12-15z with improving conditions into Monday afternoon but areas
of MVFR will still be possible. 5-10 knot winds are expected
throughout the period.

-CJM

&&

.STO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory until 4 PM PST Monday for Mountains
Southwestern Shasta County to Northern Lake County-Shasta Lake
Area / Northern Shasta County-Western Plumas County/Lassen Park.

&&

$$
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather




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